NOTICE TO TRADERS
VOLATILITY = WHEN IT MOVES · NOT WHICH WAY
A spike window means bigger candles in both directions. No direction, no signals.
GATE 01 NEXT SPIKE WINDOW Europe/Sofia
00DAYS
00HRS
00MIN
00SEC
GATE 02 THIS HOUR · LIVE vs HISTORY
FETCHING…
HOUR--:00
LIVE RANGE--bp
HIST AVG--bp
VS HIST--×
—
Live = current Binance BTCUSDT 1h candle range so far (high−low)/open. Hist = 2y weekday+hour average. Mid-hour ranges are still forming. [F]
✈ DEPARTURES — upcoming high-volatility windows
| TIME | DATE | DESTINATION | STATUS |
|---|
◷ BTC HOURS — RANKED BY AVERAGE 1H RANGE
| # | LOCAL | RANGE_BP | STATUS |
|---|
RANGE_BP = average (high−low)/open of the 1-hour candle, in basis points (100 bp = 1%). BIG-MOVE % = share of hours whose range was in the top 5% of all hours (> 156 bp). UTC column uses today's Sofia offset. Sofia and New York change clocks together (except ~3 weeks a year), so the Sofia times hold all year.
▦ WEEK MAP — DAY × LOCAL HOUR
← SWIPE →
▤ DAY OF WEEK
| DAY | RANGE | BIG-MOVE % | STATUS |
|---|
Saturday moves less than half as much as a weekday [F]. The weekend's sharpest hour comes as the week reopens: Monday 01:00–02:00 Sofia (18:00 New York Sunday) [F].
⌂ EXCHANGES NOW
| VENUE | LOCAL HOURS | STATUS |
|---|
The London–New York overlap (16:30–18:30 Sofia) contains BTC's top-3 hours [F]. Since 29 May 2026 CME crypto futures trade 24/7 [F], but the Sunday-evening spike survived (see FLT 104).
⚑ ANOMALY ARRIVALS — WHAT'S REAL
| FLT | ANOMALY | EVIDENCE | STATUS |
|---|
Tap a row for the source. CONFIRMED = shows up in this data and/or peer-reviewed work. WEAK = small or noisy. FADED = was real, has weakened since publication. NO EFFECT = tested, nothing there.
? "ARE MOVES TIMED TO HIT TRADERS AT DINNER / BEDTIME?"
[F] PATTERN IS REAL
The biggest moves cluster in fixed hours. A top-5% hour is 10× more likely at 17:00 Sofia (16.4%) than at 12:00–13:00 (1.6%). For Europe that's the commute home and dinner. For Asia it's bedtime.
[E] BEST EXPLANATION
The US clock: 08:30 ET data, the 09:30 ET open, the 14:00 ET Fed decision, and the Sunday 18:00 ET reopen. Thin books then let a push run into stop and liquidation clusters. Hunting liquidity is ordinary, legal market structure.
[S] NOT PROVABLE
That anyone schedules moves for your dinner. Price candles can't show intent. What you can honestly say: "the market moves when you're not watching."